Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#302
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#303
Pace60.3#343
Improvement+1.2#130

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#296
First Shot-1.4#225
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#346
Layup/Dunks-8.9#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#10
Freethrows-1.2#264
Improvement+2.4#69

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#285
First Shot-4.5#307
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#146
Layups/Dunks+7.4#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#350
Freethrows-1.0#239
Improvement-1.2#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 71   @ Memphis L 49-67 4%     0 - 1 -7.2 -16.4 +9.1
  Nov 17, 2015 261   Jackson St. L 60-78 49%     0 - 2 -27.1 -9.6 -18.4
  Nov 28, 2015 144   @ Morehead St. L 46-61 11%     0 - 3 -10.8 -14.6 +0.9
  Dec 01, 2015 285   @ Troy L 59-69 34%     0 - 4 -15.0 -12.8 -2.6
  Dec 04, 2015 81   Alabama L 55-58 11%     0 - 5 +1.1 -10.2 +11.0
  Dec 06, 2015 158   North Dakota St. W 74-62 26%     1 - 5 +9.5 +10.3 +0.5
  Dec 14, 2015 265   @ South Alabama W 57-54 29%     2 - 5 -0.5 -6.5 +6.4
  Dec 19, 2015 198   Georgia St. L 46-66 34%     2 - 6 -25.1 -20.5 -7.4
  Dec 22, 2015 192   @ Tulane L 40-59 17%     2 - 7 -18.0 -22.9 +2.2
  Jan 02, 2016 161   @ Louisiana Tech L 57-87 13%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -27.0 -12.7 -15.1
  Jan 07, 2016 195   Charlotte L 76-82 34%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -11.0 +2.8 -14.1
  Jan 09, 2016 118   Old Dominion W 73-71 19%     3 - 9 1 - 2 +2.2 +12.0 -9.5
  Jan 14, 2016 301   @ Florida Atlantic L 51-58 39%     3 - 10 1 - 3 -13.3 -16.2 +2.0
  Jan 16, 2016 236   @ Florida International W 66-60 23%     4 - 10 2 - 3 +4.4 +0.1 +5.0
  Jan 23, 2016 161   Louisiana Tech L 59-70 27%     4 - 11 2 - 4 -13.8 -14.4 +0.4
  Jan 28, 2016 222   UTEP W 71-58 39%     5 - 11 3 - 4 +6.5 -5.6 +12.1
  Jan 30, 2016 339   Texas San Antonio W 86-70 76%     6 - 11 4 - 4 -0.7 +1.2 -2.2
  Feb 04, 2016 290   @ North Texas L 54-70 36%     6 - 12 4 - 5 -21.6 -20.7 -1.3
  Feb 06, 2016 277   @ Rice L 65-72 33%     6 - 13 4 - 6 -11.6 -11.1 -0.9
  Feb 11, 2016 117   UAB L 77-80 2OT 18%     6 - 14 4 - 7 -2.7 -0.3 -2.3
  Feb 13, 2016 130   Middle Tennessee L 54-76 20%     6 - 15 4 - 8 -22.6 -8.5 -17.5
  Feb 18, 2016 222   @ UTEP L 73-78 21%     6 - 16 4 - 9 -5.6 +1.0 -6.7
  Feb 20, 2016 339   @ Texas San Antonio L 53-74 56%     6 - 17 4 - 10 -31.9 -22.8 -10.8
  Feb 25, 2016 277   Rice L 74-76 OT 54%     6 - 18 4 - 11 -12.4 -10.1 -2.2
  Feb 27, 2016 290   North Texas W 81-70 58%     7 - 18 5 - 11 -0.4 +2.9 -3.1
  Mar 03, 2016 181   @ Western Kentucky L 60-75 15%     7 - 19 5 - 12 -13.1 -1.7 -14.6
  Mar 05, 2016 150   @ Marshall L 106-108 OT 12%     7 - 20 5 - 13 +1.8 +7.1 -4.9
Projected Record 7.0 - 20.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%